Jacksonv. St
W-L: (10- 5) PR = 72.7327Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 828 A UCF B12 ( 4- 8, 70.0) 10-17 906 H Liberty CUSA ( 4- 8, 68.4) 34-24 906 A So Miss SUN ( 6- 7, 68.2) 20-38 913 A Georgia So SUN ( 8- 6, 71.2) 34-41 920 H Murray St 45-10 927 A So Miss SUN ( 6- 7, 68.2) 41-25 1009 A SHouston St CUSA ( 2-10, 58.8) 29-27 1015 H Delaware ( 7- 6, 70.5) 38-25 1029 A Middle Tenn CUSA ( 3- 9, 66.4) 24-21 1108 A UTEP CUSA ( 2-10, 61.8) 30-27 1115 H Kennesaw St CUSA (10- 4, 73.9) 35-26 1122 A Florida Intl CUSA ( 7- 6, 70.8) 21-27 1129 H We Kentucky CUSA ( 9- 4, 75.2) 37-34 1205 A Kennesaw St CUSA (10- 4, 73.9) 15-19 1216 N Troy SUN ( 8- 6, 71.6) 17-13
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
828 A UCF 10-17 -7 -3 -- -4.48
906 H Liberty 34-24 10 10 0.44
906 A So Miss 20-38 -18 -1 --- -13.27
913 A Georgia So 34-41 -7 -4 - -3.27
927 A So Miss 41-25 16 -1 +++ 14.73
1009 A SHouston St 29-27 2 9 --- -6.69
1015 H Delaware 38-25 13 8 ++ 5.49
1029 A Middle Tenn 24-21 3 1 1.97
1108 A UTEP 30-27 3 6 - -2.63
1115 H Kennesaw St 35-26 9 4 ++ 4.94
1122 A Florida Intl 21-27 -6 -3 - -2.70
1129 H We Kentucky 37-34 3 3 0.16
1205 A Kennesaw St 15-19 -4 -6 + 2.46
1216 N Troy 17-13 4 1 + 2.86
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 906 A So Miss 20-38 -18 -1 --- -13.27 1009 A SHouston St 29-27 2 9 --- -6.69 828 A UCF 10-17 -7 -3 -- -4.48 913 A Georgia So 34-41 -7 -4 - -3.27 1108 A UTEP 30-27 3 6 - -2.63 1122 A Florida Intl 21-27 -6 -3 - -2.70 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 927 A So Miss 41-25 16 -1 +++ 14.73 1015 H Delaware 38-25 13 8 ++ 5.49 1115 H Kennesaw St 35-26 9 4 ++ 4.94 1205 A Kennesaw St 15-19 -4 -6 + 2.46 1216 N Troy 17-13 4 1 + 2.86 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UCF ( 4- 8, 70.0) 10-17 -29.91 21.31 5.26 0.91 -11.22
3 H Liberty ( 4- 8, 68.4) 34-24 -31.47 19.75 -5.26 0.91 26.40
3 A So Miss ( 6- 7, 68.2) 20-38 -31.70 19.52 5.26 0.91 -12.04
3 A Georgia So ( 8- 6, 71.2) 34-41 -28.70 22.52 5.26 0.91 -10.67
3 A So Miss ( 6- 7, 68.2) 41-25 -31.70 19.52 5.26 0.91 45.14
3 A SHouston St ( 2-10, 58.8) 29-27 -41.12 10.10 5.26 0.91 27.98
3 H Delaware ( 7- 6, 70.5) 38-25 -29.42 21.80 -5.26 0.91 30.13
3 A Middle Tenn ( 3- 9, 66.4) 24-21 -33.45 17.77 5.26 0.91 41.94
3 A UTEP ( 2-10, 61.8) 30-27 -38.06 13.16 5.26 0.91 33.55
3 H Kennesaw St (10- 4, 73.9) 35-26 -25.97 25.25 -5.26 0.91 36.41
3 A Florida Intl ( 7- 6, 70.8) 21-27 -29.13 22.09 5.26 0.91 -10.87
3 H We Kentucky ( 9- 4, 75.2) 37-34 -24.75 26.47 -5.26 0.91 38.64
3 A Kennesaw St (10- 4, 73.9) 15-19 -25.97 25.25 5.26 0.91 -9.43
3 N Troy ( 8- 6, 71.6) 17-13 -28.31 22.91 -0.00 0.91 41.73
------
267.68
|
winning pts = 321.9106 losing points = -54.2342
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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